Six sections. Real numbers. The myths that get people hurt.
Every fact below is checked against a primary authority — CDC, EPA, USDA, FEMA, FCC, NIST, CISA. Skim the charts, tick the boxes, and print the whole thing. Sources are listed at the end.
Power: Read the Real Number, Not the Label
That "20,000mAh" printed on your power bank is a marketing number your phone never actually sees.
Battery labels are measured at the cell's internal 3.7 volts and hide a third of the energy in conversion loss. Learn one unit (watt-hours) and one formula — Wh ÷ watts = hours — and you can size any battery to any device before an outage instead of guessing during one.
- Convert every battery to watt-hours before comparing: Wh = (mAh × volts) ÷ 1000. A 20,000mAh bank = 20 × 3.7 = 74 Wh, of which only ~45–59 Wh reaches your phone after ~30–40% conversion loss (about 2.5–4 full charges, not 5+).
- Estimate runtime with usable Wh ÷ device watts = hours. A 300Wh station runs a 45W CPAP ~6.7 hours; a 1,000Wh station runs a 40W CPAP ~16 hours. Then shave ~15% for inverter loss and treat the result as an optimistic ceiling.
- Plan a “100W” solar panel for ~300–600 Wh per DAY, not 1,200 Wh. Real output runs ~35–75W because there are only ~3–6 hours of usable peak sun. For a location-specific estimate, use NREL's free PVWatts tool.
- Stretch a laptop: stacking Battery Saver / Low Power Mode, dropping screen brightness from 100% to 50%, and killing Wi-Fi/Bluetooth can up to double runtime (idle ~15–20W vs 100–200W under load).
- Charge lithium batteries to ~80% and keep them cool and partial (40–80%), not baked at 100% in a hot car. Battery University data: ~300 cycles at 100% depth-of-discharge vs ~1,000+ at 40%; every 0.10V drop in peak charge voltage roughly doubles cycle life.
- Light is the cheapest load: a 9W LED equals a 60W bulb (~800 lumens) using ~85–90% less power, so a 74Wh bank runs a small LED lantern for a full day and still charges a phone.
You should fully drain a lithium battery before recharging, and keeping it at 100% is best.
Lithium-ion has no “memory” — full discharges actively shorten its life. Battery University shows ~40% depth-of-discharge cycles last 3–6× longer than 100% cycles, and staying near 40–80% and cool preserves capacity. “Drain it fully” is a leftover rule from old nickel-cadmium batteries. — Battery University BU-808
Water & Food: One Minute, Eight Drops, Two Clocks
You don't need to boil water for ten minutes — and you can never smell whether food is safe.
Water and food safety in an outage runs on a handful of exact CDC/EPA/USDA numbers most people get wrong. One minute at a rolling boil. Eight drops of bleach per gallon. Forty-eight hours in a full freezer. Match the method to the threat and you waste no fuel and throw away no food you didn't have to.
- Boil clear water at a ROLLING boil for 1 minute (3 minutes above 6,500 ft per CDC / 5,000 ft per EPA). That kills bacteria, viruses, and protozoa. Extra time only wastes fuel.
- No fire? Add 8 drops of 6% unscented household bleach per gallon, OR 6 drops of 8.25% bleach per gallon (~1/8 tsp). Stir, wait 30 minutes; there should be a slight chlorine smell. DOUBLE the dose for cloudy, colored, or very cold water. Regular unscented bleach only.
- Know the limits: neither boiling nor bleach removes heavy metals, salts, or chemicals — and chlorine does NOT reliably kill Cryptosporidium (it's chlorine-tolerant). For Crypto/Giardia you need to boil or use an ABSOLUTE 1-micron / NSF 53 or 58 “cyst” filter.
- For sketchy water, filter FIRST then disinfect. Most portable filters remove parasites but not viruses; a “nominal” 1-micron filter can pass 20–30% of Crypto-sized particles, so choose “absolute.”
- Store at least 1 gallon per person per day, 3 days minimum, ideally 2 weeks (a family of 4 needs 56 gallons for 2 weeks). Roughly half is drinking, half is cooking/hygiene. Replace self-bottled water every 6 months.
- Work the outage clock, doors shut: fridge safe ~4 hours; half-full freezer ~24 hours; full freezer ~48 hours. Refreeze thawed food if it still has ice crystals or is 40°F or below. Discard perishables held above 40°F for 2+ hours — never taste to judge.
After a power outage, just smell or taste the food to see if it's still good.
Never taste food to judge safety — dangerous bacteria produce no smell, taste, or visible change. Go by the clock and thermometer: fridge food is unsafe after ~4 hours without power, and anything held above 40°F for 2+ hours should be discarded. When in doubt, throw it out. — USDA FSIS / FoodSafety.gov
General preparedness information, not professional medical, water-quality, or safety advice. Bleach doses and boil times follow current CDC/EPA guidance — verify against your local health authority and your specific bleach strength before acting.
Comms: Text, Don't Call — and Other Blackout Truths
In an emergency your instinct is to call. That's often the exact worst move when towers are jammed.
When the network is congested, the channel you don't think about is the one that gets through. FEMA and the FCC say send a text. GPS keeps working with zero signal. A $30 weather radio reaches ~40 miles with no cell, app, or internet. And there's no federal rule keeping cell towers powered in a long blackout — so know your fallbacks before the grid drops.
- Text instead of calling. SMS is low-bandwidth and “store-and-forward” — the network holds and retries it until capacity opens, so it lands (possibly delayed) when a voice call fails. Keep any calls short and wait ~10 seconds before redialing.
- Any phone can dial 911 with no SIM and no active plan (FCC rule, 47 CFR 9.10) — so that dead phone in a drawer is a working emergency dialer. Catch: with no SIM the dispatcher may not get your location or a callback number, so state your location out loud.
- GPS is receive-only and works in airplane mode straight from satellites — “no bars” does NOT mean no navigation. Only the map tiles need internet, so download your offline map area in advance.
- Set up your phone's emergency info NOW: iPhone Medical ID (enable “Show When Locked”) and Android Emergency Information let a paramedic see your ICE contact, allergies, meds, and blood type from the lock screen without your passcode.
- Keep a NOAA Weather Radio: a full-power transmitter covers ~40 miles with a tone alarm, on 1,000+ transmitters reaching 95%+ of the U.S. population, entirely independent of the cell grid.
- At night, tune AM: after sunset the ionosphere's absorbing D-layer clears and AM signals refract off the higher F-layer (“skywave”), reaching hundreds of miles. FM stays roughly line-of-sight.
Cell towers keep working through any blackout because they run on backup batteries and generators.
There's no enforced federal rule requiring backup power at cell sites; a proposed rule was enjoined in 2008 and never took effect. Backup is voluntary, and many sites have only a few hours of battery — in a prolonged grid outage, towers go dark. Don't assume the network is a given. — FCC 07-107 / 2008 D.C. Circuit injunction
General preparedness information, not professional or legal advice. 911 access and alert behavior vary by carrier, device, and location — verify your own phone's emergency settings and local alerting before you rely on them.
Offline AI: What a Local Model Really Can (and Can't) Do
A genuinely useful AI fits on a cheap USB stick and runs on an 8 GB laptop with the Wi-Fi off — and it will still lie to you with total confidence.
Local language models are the honest middle ground: powerful for stable knowledge, private by design, and mathematically incapable of guaranteeing accuracy. Knowing that last part is what keeps you safe. These figures are pinned to Hugging Face listings, OpenAI's Whisper repo, OpenAI's token math, and a peer-reviewed hallucination proof.
- A capable 8-billion-parameter model (Llama 3.1 8B, 4-bit) is ~4.7–4.9 GB on disk and runs in ~5–7 GB of RAM — no data-center GPU, no dedicated graphics card required. Long chats add memory, so keep them shorter on an 8 GB machine.
- On a plain laptop CPU it generates text faster than you read: ~10 tokens/sec ≈ 7–8 words/sec (~450 words/min), versus an average adult's silent reading of ~238 words/min.
- Once the model file is downloaded, inference is fully on-device — nothing you type is transmitted, and it works identically in airplane mode. (Some wrapper apps collect their own telemetry by default; that's the app, not the model, and can be turned off.)
- Offline speech-to-text is real and tiny: OpenAI's Whisper “tiny” is a 39-million-parameter model (~75 MB on disk) and the small English model hits ~4–7% word error rate on clean audio — all offline.
- Pair the model with offline knowledge: English Wikipedia via Kiwix is ~7.4 GB (intros only), ~57 GB (full text, no images), or ~110 GB (everything with images) — all fits on a modest USB drive alongside the model.
- Treat it as a frozen, brilliant advisor with no newspaper: excellent for how-to steps, translation, and explaining saved documents; useless for live facts (weather, prices, news, road conditions) it can never know past its training cutoff.
If it runs locally, at least I can trust it to be accurate — no cloud filter messing with it.
Local doesn't mean accurate. Hallucination is mathematically inevitable for all language models, cloud or offline — a 2025 OpenAI paper proved models will sometimes produce confident, plausible falsehoods no matter how good the training. Verify every factual claim against a real source. — Kalai et al., 'Why Language Models Hallucinate' (arXiv 2509.04664)
A local AI's factual output is a draft, not authority. Treat every number, date, dosage, direction, and safety-critical claim it produces as unverified until you check it against a real source — hallucination is inevitable, and offline models can't know anything after their training cutoff.
Navigation & Documents: The Free Tools You Never Turned On
Your phone already knows exactly where you are with zero signal — and your laptop already has nation-state-grade encryption you've probably never switched on.
Two free capabilities most people leave dormant: precise offline GPS, and full-disk encryption. Add the government-backed 3-2-1 backup rule and a proper document kit, and a lost drive becomes worthless to a thief instead of an identity-theft kit. Figures verified against GPS.gov, Google Maps Help, Apple Platform Security, CISA, and NIST.
- GPS works in airplane mode, with no SIM and zero signal — it's receive-only from satellites. A GPS-enabled smartphone is accurate to ~4.9 m (16 ft) under open sky; accuracy degrades indoors and in urban canyons.
- Download your ENTIRE route before losing signal — and refresh it. Google Maps offline areas EXPIRE (you're warned at 15 days or less), and only DRIVING directions work offline: no walking/transit, no live traffic, no alternate routes.
- Turn on full-disk encryption: BitLocker (Windows) or FileVault (Mac) encrypts the whole drive with a 256-bit AES key. Brute-forcing that keyspace would take longer than the age of the universe — so a lost or stolen drive is unreadable. It's only as strong as your passphrase.
- Length beats complexity for passwords: NIST now says allow long passphrases, screen against breach lists, and STOP forcing 90-day resets (they push people toward predictable patterns). A four-random-word passphrase beats “P@ssw0rd!”. When a password is the sole login, aim for 15+ characters.
- Build a FEMA document kit: store IDs, insurance, a medical/prescription list, deeds/titles, and financial info in a password-protected format on a removable drive kept in a fireproof/waterproof box — plus printed copies in a separate location.
- Air-gap one backup: an encrypted USB stick kept UNPLUGGED in a fireproof box can't be reached by ransomware (which hunts network-connected and cloud backups). Plug it in only to update — and test it periodically so it isn't silently corrupt when you need it.
A complex password like P@ssw0rd! is safer than a long simple phrase, and I should change passwords every 90 days.
NIST now says length beats forced complexity, and mandatory periodic resets are discouraged because they push people toward weaker, predictable patterns. The modern standard is a long passphrase + breach/blocklist screening + multi-factor auth — change a password only on evidence of compromise. — NIST SP 800-63B
General information on preparedness and digital security, not professional legal or security advice. Encryption is only as strong as your passphrase, and offline navigation can fail — carry a paper map and, in true no-cell wilderness, a dedicated satellite messenger or PLB.
Your Body: The Survival Rules Movies Got Wrong
You can freeze to death at 50 degrees, and “cut and suck the venom” is the move that costs people a limb.
The most dangerous survival myths are the ones everyone “knows.” The truth from CDC, NWS, NIH, and the American College of Surgeons is calmer and more useful: cover all your skin, keep pressure on a bleed, drink before you're thirsty, and when you're lost, stop moving. These are the numbers that actually save lives.
- Hypothermia can set in above 40°F when you're wet from rain, sweat, or cold water — most U.S. hypothermia deaths cluster in the 30–50°F range, driven by wind and wet clothing, not deep winter. A wet, windy 45–50°F day is a classic killer.
- Snakebite: do NOT cut, suck, apply a tourniquet, ice it, or take aspirin/ibuprofen (all per CDC). Instead stay calm, keep the limb neutral, remove rings/watches before swelling, mark the swelling edge with the time, and get to antivenom fast.
- Severe bleeding can kill in under 5 minutes — faster than an ambulance arrives. Apply firm DIRECT pressure with both hands and body weight, held continuously at least 5 minutes without peeking. If that won't stop life-threatening limb bleeding, place a tourniquet 2–3 inches above the wound (never on a joint) and note the time.
- Hydrate on a schedule, not on thirst: cognition, memory, and mood measurably decline at just 1–2% body-water loss, and thirst lags behind that deficit. (Don't overdrink at rest, though — that risks hyponatremia.)
- Heat stroke = call 911: the decisive red flag is altered mental status (confusion, slurred speech, passing out) plus a very high body temp (103°F or higher per CDC). Do NOT wait for skin to go dry — exertional heat-stroke victims are often still sweating. Actively cool: shade plus cold water/ice to neck, armpits, groin.
- If you're lost, STOP: Stop, Think, Observe, Plan — and usually stay put. Wandering enlarges the search area and burns water and energy. Signal in threes (three whistle blasts, fires, or flashes); a whistle carries far further than shouting and doesn't exhaust you.
Suck out snake venom, cut the bite, or apply a tourniquet.
CDC says do NOT cut, suck, tourniquet, ice, or take painkillers. Suction removes less than 0.04% of injected venom (clinically meaningless), and a tourniquet concentrates the toxin and raises amputation risk. Keep still, remove rings, keep the limb neutral, and get to antivenom fast. — CDC / NIOSH
General first-aid and preparedness information, not professional medical advice. In any real emergency call your local emergency number and follow trained responders — take a hands-on first-aid / Stop the Bleed course to practice these skills before you need them.
Every claim, sourced
This guide was fact-checked against primary authorities. It is general preparedness information, not professional medical, legal, or safety advice — verify anything safety-critical yourself before you act on it.
- 01CDC — Making Water Safe in an Emergency
- 02EPA — Emergency Disinfection of Drinking Water
- 03CDC — Water Treatment When Hiking, Camping, or Traveling
- 04CDC — Create and Store an Emergency Water Supply
- 05USDA FSIS / FoodSafety.gov — Food Safety During a Power Outage
- 06USDA FSIS — Shelf-Stable Food Safety
- 07FCC / FEMA — Tips for Communicating in an Emergency
- 08eCFR / Cornell LII — 911 Requirements (47 CFR 9.10)
- 09FEMA — Wireless Emergency Alerts
- 10National Weather Service — NOAA Weather Radio
- 11FCC — Why AM Stations Change Operations at Night
- 12GPS.gov (U.S. Government) — GPS Overview and Accuracy
- 13Google Maps Help — Download areas & navigate offline
- 14Apple Platform Security — Volume encryption with FileVault
- 15NIST — SP 800-63B Digital Identity Guidelines
- 16CISA — Data Backup Options / #StopRansomware Guide
- 17Ready.gov / FEMA — Safeguard Critical Documents & Financial Preparedness
- 18Battery University (Cadex) — BU-808: How to Prolong Lithium-Based Batteries
- 19EnergySage — How Many Watts Does a Refrigerator Use
- 20NREL — PVWatts Calculator (solar estimates)
- 21Kalai et al. (OpenAI / Georgia Tech) — Why Language Models Hallucinate
- 22OpenAI — Whisper speech-to-text (model card)
- 23Kiwix — Wikipedia offline download library
- 24NOAA / National Weather Service — Wind Chill Chart
- 25CDC — Preventing Hypothermia (Winter Weather)
- 26CDC / NIOSH — Venomous Snakes at Work
- 27American College of Surgeons — Stop the Bleed
- 28CDC / NIOSH — Heat-Related Illnesses
- 29MedlinePlus (NIH/NLM) — Cerebral Hypoxia
- 30BMJ / Vreeman & Carroll — The Great Cold Head Myth (2008)